Macquarie Research believes the HK residential market is in the recovery stage, and its magnitude is larger and faster than the research house's original anticipation.
Macquarie believes this is largely attributable to three mortgage rate cuts offsetting the concerns of US interest rate hikes, and the return of both mass market endusers and long-term investors.
It believe the recovery to continue and thus revised up its 2016-17 property price projections to 0% and 0% (previous: -6%/ -5%).
Macquarie increased its NAV estimates for several HK developers under its coverage
by 0.3-4.1%. It also increased its 2017-18 earnings estimates by 2.7% and 4.9% on average.
It believes there is more upside possible on further re-rating of HK developers despite YTD performance of +23%, versus +9% for HK landlords, and +8% for the Hang Seng Index.
Macquarie sees good investment opportunities in HK developers as the HK residential
market recovers. Its revised target prices for HK developers are as follows:
Name Rating Target Price
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Sun Hung Kai Properties (00016) Outperform HK$135.28 from HK$132.00
Sino Land (00083) Neutra HK$12.16 from HK$11.49
New World Development (00017) Outperform HK$11.51 from HK$9.05
Kerry Properties(00683) Neutra HK$21.54 from HK$20.91
K Wah International (00173) Outperform HK$4.97 from HK$4.81
Henderson Land (00012) Neutra HK$43.86 from HK$43.06
Wheelock and Co. (00020) Neutra HK$43.46 from HK$42.94
CK Property (01113) Outperform HK$68.07 from HK$67.00
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