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12/10/2026 09:05

Tencent's sharp decline indeed triggered rational buying interest

《Mastering the Game》Currently, the actual holdings of this column's short-term, medium-term, and long-term securities investment portfolios are 18.75%, 25%, and 27.5% respectively, with market outlooks categorized as slightly bearish, bearish, and significantly bearish. After news emerged that Tencent (00700) was considering issuing $5 billion in bonds to advance its artificial intelligence strategy, its share price initially plunged sharply but then reversed course with a substantial rebound, primarily due to the market's reassessment and swift restoration of confidence in its strategic layout and financial structure. First, investors have gradually absorbed short-term concerns over the additional debt burden, recognizing that bond financing effectively avoids equity dilution and demonstrates management's firm determination to actively seize a leading position in AI infrastructure and the Hunyuan large model ecosystem, while maintaining share buybacks and dividend payouts. Second, the company's continuous daily share repurchases have provided strong market support. As investors recognize that AI capital expenditures will significantly enhance the long-term monetization efficiency of its business, rational buying interest quickly surged.

The sharp rebound in share price has lifted market sentiment; this has strong implications for the technology stock sector and the overall market's short- to medium-term outlook, potentially attracting long-term capital back into the market. On the technical indicator candlestick daily chart, due to bulls launching a strong counterattack from last Thursday's (8th) low of 4065, a bullish reversal pattern similar to 'Piercing Line' was recorded, and the lower boundary of the Bollinger Band was regained once again. The previous bottom, the low of 4251 on November 11th, serves as the initial short-term resistance level; if successfully broken and surpassed, the next upside targets could reach the 0.5 and 0.618 Fibonacci retracement levels of the decline starting from the high of 4510 on the 22nd, at 4288 and 4340 respectively. The short-term outlook is currently bearish, and the MACD urgently needs to generate a 'bear-to-bull' buy signal to deter more bears. Investors should not have overly high expectations for the index's future performance at this stage, but should first observe whether major bullish players can gradually push the short-term defense line upward, creating a 'higher high after higher high' bullish formation.

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