[ET Net News Agency, 3 November 2017] HSBC Global Research raised its target price for
Chalco (02600) to HK$6.24 from HK$4.95, but downgraded its rating to "hold" from "buy".
The research house said Chalco's 9-month 2017 net profit accounts for 50% of its full
year profit forecast as a result of higher than expected costs.
HSBC thinks Chalco's profitably and earnings will continue to improve over the next 6 to
12 months. It also believes the aluminium price will remain relatively stable in the
coming years and has lifted its SHFE aluminium price estimates over 2017/18 by 9.1%/16.6%,
respectively.
It said the upcoming winter production cuts in Shandong province will further tighten
aluminium supply, but HSBC also noted the record high inventory of 1.5m in the system will
weigh on aluminium prices making significant gains going forward.
HSBC cut its 2017 net profit forecasts by 12% but increased its 2018 net profit forecast
by 47%, factoring in higher than expected costs in 2017 and its revised aluminium price
forecasts in 2017/18. (KL)