Moody's Investors Services said that the new down-payment requirements for first and second home owners in China (Aa3 stable) are credit positive for the country's developers because they will support demand for properties in second-tier cities - and lower-tier cities to a lesser extent - by reducing the upfront down-payment hurdle for first-time home buyers, while encouraging more prospective upgraders or investors to purchase homes.
"While we do not expect a material or immediate increase in residential property sales because the central bank's move lowers the requirement by just 5-10 percentage points, we believe the Chinese authorities will continue to implement policies to lower total home inventory levels in the country," said Stephanie Lau, a Moody's Assistant Vice President and Analyst.
"Second-tier cities will benefit more from the new down-payment cuts than lower-tier cities, because of the stronger demand from end-users and upgraders in second-tier cities," said Cindy Yang, a Moody's Analyst.
Moody's analysis is contained in its just-released report titled "Property -- China: PBOC Cuts Down-Payment Requirement Further, a Credit Positive for Developers," and is co-authored by Lau and Yang.
Moody's report pointed out that on 2 February 2016, the People's Bank of China (PBoC) announced that banks can reduce the minimum down-payment requirement to as low as 20% from 25% for first-time home buyers in cities that do not have restrictions on home purchases.
The central bank also reduced the minimum down-payment requirement for second-home buyers who exhibit outstanding mortgages on their first homes to 30% from 40%.
Moody's report further pointed out that lower-tier cities face high inventory risks, as indicated by the pressure on home prices in such cities, and slow home sales. Moody's said that these cities will require further government incentives to lower their stock of new homes.
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